Method for the analysis of the behavior of the seasonality of prices in the historical import and export series

Authors

  • Yamila Fernández del Busto Ministry of Foreign Relations, Havana, Cuba https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4399-2348
  • Leniuska García León Ministry of Foreign Trade and Foreign Investment, Havana, Cuba
  • Anamary Suárez Quiñones Ministry of Foreign Trade and Foreign Investment, Havana, Cuba
  • Nanayan Vega Pineda Ministry of Foreign Trade and Foreign Investment, Havana, Cuba
  • Ana Paula Betancourt Vázquez Ministry of Foreign Trade and Foreign Investment, Havana, Cuba
  • Alejandro Valdés González Ministry of Foreign Trade and Foreign Investment, Havana, Cuba

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5527002

Keywords:

seasonality, price series, seasonal variations, seasonality index

Abstract

Seasonality is a characteristic of a time series in which data is subjected to regular and predictable variations that repeat on each period. On the other hand, the price series jointly include the conjunctural evolution in the mid-and-long term, as well as seasonal variations. To measure these seasonal variations, seasonality indexes are constructed. In this analysis, a summary of the estimated monthly seasonality is obtained, based on the historical series of prices of the main import and export products. The objective of this research is to identify the most feasible months to export or import products, based on the international market prices. The main tool used for the estimation was the statistical package EViews 9 for Microsoft Windows.

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Published

2021-04-06

How to Cite

Fernández del Busto, Y. ., García León, L. ., Suárez Quiñones, A. ., Vega Pineda, N. ., Betancourt Vázquez, A. P. ., & Valdés González , A. . (2021). Method for the analysis of the behavior of the seasonality of prices in the historical import and export series. Cuban Journal of Public and Business Administration, 5(1), e161. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5527002